Saeideh Khaloei; Shahram Khalighisigaroodi; khaled ahmadauli; arash malekian
Abstract
Recently, the effects of climate change on the hydrological cycle and regime have become an important research topic. The results of atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs) together with hydrological models are used to determine the impacts of climate change on hydrologic regime. The daily minimum ...
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Recently, the effects of climate change on the hydrological cycle and regime have become an important research topic. The results of atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs) together with hydrological models are used to determine the impacts of climate change on hydrologic regime. The daily minimum and maximum temperatures, rainfall and sunshine hours of the Shiraz synoptic station were simulated using the LARSE_WG6.0 statistical model. The efficiency of the model for simulating climate variables was determined using historical data of Shiraz station. To investigate climate change on runoff, two scenarios of the HadGEM2-ES model for two periods were downscaled using the LARSE_WG model. In the next step, runoff was simulated using the SWMM model and its results were compared with the measured runoff. For this purpose, 2 events were used for calibration and one event for validation. Based on coefficient correlation (R), root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), the model has a suitable efficiency for simulating runoff. Then, LARSE_WG downscaled data were used in SWMM model and the runoff changes in future periods compared to present. According to RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios, precipitation will increase from 16.10 to 8.88% in 2021-2040 and 14.49% and 19.73% in 2061-2080. Therefore, assuming no change in landuse in Shiraz district 8, the volume of runoff will increase from 13.35 to 21.48 percent.
Majid Kazemzadeh; Ali Salajegheh; Arash Malekian; Abdolmajid Liaghat
Abstract
On average, 70 percent of the precipitation that reach Earth's surface, returns to the atmosphere through evapotranspiration, and this rate reaches 90 percent in arid areas. Meanwhile, watershed measures directly related to water, soil and plant, and ultimately to evapotranspiration on the natural resources ...
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On average, 70 percent of the precipitation that reach Earth's surface, returns to the atmosphere through evapotranspiration, and this rate reaches 90 percent in arid areas. Meanwhile, watershed measures directly related to water, soil and plant, and ultimately to evapotranspiration on the natural resources region (ecochydrology). In this study, in order to study the effect of biological activities of watersheds (enhancement and increase of vegetation) on the process of soil moisture and evapotranspiration changes, paired watersheds of Taleghan, Alborz Province were selected. In order to calculate evapotranspiration by soil moisture balance method, soil moisture monitoring points were selected using field and laboratory studies in three main areas (northwest, eastern and southeast) and three replications and at three depths of 0-20, 40-20 and 40 -60 cm during plant growth period in 2017. Data were analyzed by ANOVA method, and Duncan test. The results showed that the actual evapotranspiration in the treated watershed and control watersheds were not statistically significant and, respectively, they showed 181 mm and 159 mm in a period of growth. In other words, the actual evapotranspiration value in the treated watershed was 14% higher than the control one during the growth period. Also, the results showed that evapotranspiration under different aspect slopes had a significant difference. The total actual evapotranspiration in the northwestern slopes were 229 and 226 mm, in east slopes were 207 and 171 and in the southeastern slopes were 109 and 80 mm in the treated and control watersheds, respectively.
Hasan Alipoor; Arash Malekian
Abstract
The precipitation is important factor among climatic factors and factors that affect on hydrology and water balance of a watershed and prediction of its behavior is very important for ecosystem management and water resources. In this study, long-term precipitation threshold trend was assessed using Non-parametric ...
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The precipitation is important factor among climatic factors and factors that affect on hydrology and water balance of a watershed and prediction of its behavior is very important for ecosystem management and water resources. In this study, long-term precipitation threshold trend was assessed using Non-parametric statistical approaches (Spearman Rho, Kendall's Tau, Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope Estimator) and Homogeneity tests (Von Neumann, Buishand, Standard normal homogeneity and Pettitt) at eight synoptic stations during 1984 to 2013 in north-west Iran. According to the results of non-parametric and homogeneity tests, all precipitation thresholds had decreasing trend at 0.01 significant level and showed sudden descending changes at 0.05 significant level in Maragheh station. Mann-Kendall, Spearman and Kendall's Tau tests together provided similar results in all series that were different by Sen method results in some thresholds. These means that all precipitation thresholds have trend by 26% of non-parametric tests, in order to determine change point of precipitation thresholds. Buishand, Standard normal homogeneity and Pettitt tests provided similar results that were different with Von Neumann results in all thresholds. In this research, 25.92 percent of precipitation threshold was heterogeneous in the study area by studying these sudden changes. It was found that natural and unnatural factors including meteorological droughts or human factors have caused sudden changes in precipitation threshold.
Bahram Choubin; Karim Solaimani; Mahmoud Habibnejad Roshan; Arash Malekian
Abstract
Integrated watershed management and regeneralization of available information to ungauged basin needs to recognize homogeneous watersheds. The hydrologic similarity of watersheds is caused by the hydroclimate and physical behaviors. In present study, hydroclimate and physical indices were used for indicating ...
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Integrated watershed management and regeneralization of available information to ungauged basin needs to recognize homogeneous watersheds. The hydrologic similarity of watersheds is caused by the hydroclimate and physical behaviors. In present study, hydroclimate and physical indices were used for indicating the homogeneous sub-watersheds in Karkheh Watershed and then results were compared. Factor analysis to reduce in the dimension of variables was conducted, separately for climatic, hydrological and physical parameters. Finally, using Fuzzy c-means (FCM) and hierarchical clustering analysis (HCA) homogeneous sub- watersheds were indicated by hydro-climate and physical parameters. Factor analysis results showed that indices of CSDI (cold spell duration index), GSL (growing season length), RX5day (monthly maximum consecutive 5-day precipitation), TX90p (percentage of days when daily maximum temperature is greater than 90th percentile) and TMAXmean (mean of maximum temperature) of climate indices, and indices of percent of hydrologica group D and flood potential index of hydrologic indices were selected. Also indices of basin area, basin elongation, average length of drainage and total topography between the physical parameters were selected. Comparing the results of the FCM and HCA indicated that the optimal number of clusters is same, but the results of watershed classification are not same in each cluster of two ways. Classification by hydroclimate and physical indices highlights that 25 and 27 basins were classified similar, respectively in two methods of clustering. Clustering by hydroclimate parameters produced different results compared with physical parameters, so that the 17 and 19 sub-basins are in the same classes in the FCM and HCA, respectively. However, there is no preference to accept watershed classification by hydroclimate or physical parameters, thus a combination of hydroclimate and physical parameters were used for classification. Watershed classification by the combination of hydroclimate and physical parameters indicated that 33 sub-basins were classified similar in both FCM and HCA methods. Classification in Karkheh basins based on the combination of physical and hydroclimate parameters revealed that the northern areas are in group 3, central regions (from east to west) are in group 2 and southern areas are in group 1. Inherently, these basins are similar in each group and demand the same protection operations in view of watershed management.
Elyas Parvaresh; Rasol Mahdavi; Arash Malekian; Yahya Esmaelpour; Arashk Holisaz
Abstract
Exact estimation of flood-water peak discharge and prioritizing the flooding potential in subwatersheds in main watersheds is necessary (because of cost, watershed restoring is not practicable in all subwatersheds), moreover flood may occur only in some specefic subwatersheds. This study was conducted ...
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Exact estimation of flood-water peak discharge and prioritizing the flooding potential in subwatersheds in main watersheds is necessary (because of cost, watershed restoring is not practicable in all subwatersheds), moreover flood may occur only in some specefic subwatersheds. This study was conducted in Sarkhoon watershed of Bandarabbas (South of Iran) with the aim of developing a flood prioritizing method in small catchments. The resarch was carried out using ElectreIII and Fuzzy Topsis methods belonging to multicriteria models. For the analysis, 7 criterions were selected that includes: Basin mean weight slope, gravilus coefficient, permeability, runoff coefficient, shape coefficient, vegetation cover and rainfall intensity with 25, 50 and 100 years return periods. Then the criterion weights were determined using AHP method and for selecting the best hierarchy and function of electre III and Fuzzy Topsis, the spearman coefficient were utilized and the results showed a correlation coefficient of 0.8 between predicted and actual flood peak values. In the final step the combination method for the final prioritizing was adopted. Results showed that subwatersheds 18-1-1, 14 and 18-1-2 have more flooding peak. It was concluded that the combination method can promise as a suitable method for prioritizing the flooding potential in subwtersheds.
Ali Jafari; Rasool Mahdavi; Arash Malekian; Hamid Gholami; Ahad Habibzadeh
Abstract
Groundwater is a major source of water. The management of these resources is very important answer for increasing drinking, agricultural and industrial water demands. Management measures need knowing the spatial and temporal behavior of groundwater. According to anomalous use of groundwater resources ...
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Groundwater is a major source of water. The management of these resources is very important answer for increasing drinking, agricultural and industrial water demands. Management measures need knowing the spatial and temporal behavior of groundwater. According to anomalous use of groundwater resources in this region and considering floods due to precipitation regime with severe rainfall, there is a need to investigate Hydro-geomorphological characteristics of quaternary deposits of Jam Plain. In this research, exploration-geophysical surveys of quaternary deposits within the Jam Plain was investigated. For this purpose, graphical methods, geo-electric sections draw, and preparing iso-resistance to different depths maps, reviews exploratory piezometer wells drilled within the Jam Plain by drawing the logs through the provision of wells and subsurface levels between wells; and finally, hydro-geomorphology relations of quaternary deposits were studied. Results showed that the minimum alluvial depth starts from 30 m in north-western margin at a distance of 500 m east of Jam Forest Park and its maximum depth of 95 m is in the north-western margin of the aquifer and 450 m south of Mehrbagh oil and gas well. The highest hydraulic conductivity coefficient of 2.5 m/day in Jam Plain belongs to Gachi well and its minimum of 1.06 m/day is related to Faramarzi well. Investigating the trend of changes of hydraulic conductivity coefficient showed that its rate in the eastern part of the study area was 2-2.5 m/day and decreases to 1-1.5 m/day in the western parts and in the north to south direction it decreases from 2-2.5 to 1-1.5 m/day. The spatial trend of changes in the coefficient of transmission capacity from east to west to the middle of the plain is approximately constant and is located on the floor of 180-200 m2/day, but in western areas it has fallen to 50-90 m2/day. The changes of this coefficient showed no significant changes in the north to south direction till the middle of the plain. But, decreased in the southern parts, which is the result of the reduction of the thickness of alluvium in these areas. Results demonstrated that 4810, 2186 and 5282 ha of the study area belongs to mountainous, hill and plateau and the middle areas between the plains and the mountains units.
Ahmad Nohegar; Arash Malekian; Majid Hosseini; Arashk Holisaz; Edris Taghvaye Salimi
Abstract
Two factors of cost and time are related directly to the accurate estimate of runoff in the watersheds. More detailed information on the status of rainfall runoff also facilitate decisions on future programs for watershed managers, a step towards the preservation of natural resources for sustainable ...
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Two factors of cost and time are related directly to the accurate estimate of runoff in the watersheds. More detailed information on the status of rainfall runoff also facilitate decisions on future programs for watershed managers, a step towards the preservation of natural resources for sustainable development. In this study, in order to achieve optimal amount of runoff in the Shafaroud watershed, first significant rainfall data of four stations during 1998 to 2011 were collected and combined with other maps of the study area, such as DEM, land use and soil as input data in the form of SWAT model was software. After running the model, the SUFI-2 and GLUE algorithms in SWAT-CUP program used to evaluate the data uncertainty and the most accurate simulation. The first three years (1998-2000) of rainfall data for warm-up and the next 7 years (2001-2007) for the calibration and final 4 years (2008-2011) were used for the validation. Finally, with multiple simulations, the uncertainty of the parameters assessed with P-factor, R-factor, and NS coefficients. The results indicated in runoff simulation, the SUFI2 algorithm ( =0.85, NS=0.74) is more accurate than GLUE algorithm ( =0.82, NS=0.71).
